Alex De Minaur vs Luca Nardi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Nardi has a slight edge in second serve points won, achieving 45.84% compared to Minaur's 43.73% over the past six months. Could this impact the match's outcome?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Nardi outperforms Minaur by 4.84%, winning 44.54% of these points.
• However, Minaur has a marginal advantage in first serve return, securing 24.07% of points over Nardi’s 23.08%.
• In high-pressure situations, Nardi has saved 54.34% of breakpoints, while Minaur has saved 47.81%, suggesting Nardi could be more resilient under pressure.
• In terms of match wins over the last year, Minaur has a superior win rate at 69.57%, whereas Nardi has won 50.77% of his matches.
• Analyzing surface preferences, Minaur excels on Grass with a 69% win rate, while Nardi's best performance is on Hard surfaces with a 59% win rate. Will the current surface favor either player?
• Minaur consistently competes in Main tour events, achieving a 72% win rate, whereas Nardi plays more in the Challengers/ITF tournaments, with a 66.67% success rate.
• Regarding opponent quality, Minaur faces higher-ranked opponents, averaging a rank of 59.36, compared to Nardi's average opponent rank of 185.26.
• Both players have an equal success rate in deciding sets, each winning 47% over the last year.
• For breakpoint opportunities, Minaur has converted 31.82%, showing a greater effectiveness compared to Nardi's 26.6% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (May 10, 2025, UTC):

Minaur's solid overall performance in high-tier events and his ability to convert breakpoints make him a formidable opponent. His experience facing higher-ranked players could prove beneficial in this match.

Despite Nardi's resilience under pressure, evidenced by his breakpoint saving capability, and his strong second serve performance, Minaur's stronger recent win rate and superior first serve return could outweigh these strengths.

Considering these factors, Minaur appears to be the favorite to triumph in this upcoming match, leveraging his greater experience and higher exposure to top-level competition.